Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.134921 0.197696 0.270246 0.358034 0.459413 0.571132 0.701993
2026-01-18 0.062599 0.138204 0.241785 0.382027 0.557731 0.763407 1.016035
2026-01-25 0.028142 0.099634 0.214972 0.385256 0.610575 0.884191 1.229426
2026-02-01 0.006194 0.059990 0.172434 0.357143 0.616472 0.943208 1.366156
2026-02-08 0.000003 0.030598 0.131690 0.320851 0.603522 0.972639 1.461871
2026-02-15 NaN 0.016789 0.111085 0.309396 0.620412 1.037157 1.598614
2026-02-22 NaN 0.010393 0.102727 0.315578 0.660854 1.131488 1.772254
2026-03-01 NaN 0.004914 0.090588 0.312223 0.685638 1.204076 1.917770
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000988 0.073352 0.295147 0.687310 1.244014 2.020411
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000659 0.077265 0.320843 0.755609 1.375391 2.241852
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000438 0.081545 0.347353 0.825394 1.509139 2.466838
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000094 0.080583 0.362119 0.876414 1.617018 2.658364
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000092 0.088416 0.398397 0.965095 1.781434 2.929488
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000015 0.091627 0.424713 1.038605 1.926003 3.176438
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.085147 0.427901 1.074086 2.017103 3.353009
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.066419 0.398161 1.053611 2.028443 3.423869
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.047051 0.359587 1.014778 2.011446 3.455442
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.038485 0.347396 1.019604 2.056013 3.568194
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.036178 0.353979 1.057503 2.148733 3.745853
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.031276 0.350406 1.076626 2.213729 3.886036
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.023310 0.332209 1.067722 2.236662 3.968750
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.026703 0.359582 1.144097 2.386788 4.225105
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.030337 0.387759 1.222014 2.539336 4.484971